https://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/D/dirpans.html

Authors. Crick, F. H. C. & Orgel, L. E.

Venue. Icarus

How the Institute flags it

speculative 2 times frontier 1 time handwave 1 time

This source carries more than one flag across the corpus. That is not an inconsistency to resolve: the same work can be established evidence for one claim and frontier evidence for another, and the flag belongs to the use rather than to the source.

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